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Statewide Prevention Needs Assessment
Risk Factors and Social Indicators
 
Thirteen risk factors and 40 social indicators were included in the Validated Archival Indicators of Risk and Outcome Variables that Predict Problem Behavior. These risk factors and social indicators are listed in Table 1.

In this report and the work of the Six-State Consortium, risk factors are characteristics of individuals or family, school or community environments that are related to an increased likelihood of youth problem behaviors, like substance abuse. In contrast, protective factors are characteristics related to a decreased likelihood of such behaviors. These factors can be interrelated, and efforts to reduce risk and increase protection often require multidimensional approaches. The social indicator then is an actual measure of the risk or protective factor using an archival data source.

Measures Included in the Final Report

This Final Report provides measures of the frequency of 40 social indicators at the state and county level for two different years. A subset of 1999 indicators are then reported for nine communities or jurisdictions across the State. Several of the individual indicators included in this report are replacements for those in the original list distributed by SAMHSA. Table 1 indicates which of the indicator variables are in the original SAMHSA list and which are reported here by county and community/jurisdiction.

While standard definitions for each of the social indicators were provided by SAMHSA and were used when possible, it became necessary to refine a number of the definitions due to data availability. The final definitions (labeled "ADHS Definition") are provided at the bottom of each table reporting the statewide frequency of the social indicator and in the Data Definitions section of this report. In this report, simple tabular presentations of rates and corresponding confidence intervals were prepared for each social indicator for each county and for the state. Maps of the relative frequency of the social indicator across the counties were developed. Social indicator data were also provided in profiles of all indicators for each county.

Table 1.  Validated Archival Indicators of Risk and Outcome Variables that Predict Problem Behavior.

Risk Factor Social Indicator SAMHSA ADHS Community
Availability of Drugs        
  Alcohol Sales Outlets X X X
  Tobacco Sales Outlets X X X
Transitions and Mobility        
  New Home Construction X X O
  Households in Rental Properties X X O
  Net Migration X X O
Low Neighborhood Attachment and Community Disorganization        
  Population Voting in Elections X X O
  Prisoners in State and Local Correctional Systems X X O
Extreme Economic and Social Deprivation        
  Unemployment X X X
  Free and Reduced Lunch Program X X X
  Temporary Assistance for Needy Families X X X
  Food Stamp Recipients X X X
  Adults Without High School Diplomas X X O
  Single Parent Family Households X X O
Family History of Substance Abuse        
  Adults in Alcohol and Other Drug (AOD) Treatment Programs X O O
Substance Use        
  Juvenile Alcohol-Related Arrests X X
  Juvenile Drug-Related Arrests X X X
  Adult Alcohol-Related Arrests X X X
  Adult Drug-Related Arrests X X X
  Adult Drunken Driving Arrests X X X
  Alcohol Related Traffic Fatalities X X X
  Drug Use in Pregnancy X O O
  Alcohol Use in Pregnancy O X X
  Tobacco Use in Pregnancy O X X
Violence        
  Juvenile Arrests for Violent Crimes X X X
  Adult Arrests for Violent Crimes X X X
  Homicides X X O
Non-violent Crime        
  Juvenile Arrests for Curfew, Vandalism, and Disorderly Conduct X X X
  Juvenile Arrests for Property Crimes X X X
  Adult Arrests for Property Crimes X X X
Suicide        
  Adolescent Suicide X X O
Adolescent Sexual Behavior        
  Adolescent Pregnancies X X O
  Birthrate Among Juveniles X X X
Family Management Problems        
  Children Living Away from Parents X X O
  Children Living in Foster Care X X O
Family Conflict        
  Divorce X X O
  Domestic Violence Arrests X X X
Low Commitment to School        
  Event Dropouts X X O
  Status Dropouts X X O
Early Initiation to Problem Behavior        
  Dropouts Prior to the Ninth Grade X X O
  Vandalism Arrests, Age 10-14 X X X
  Alcohol Related Arrests, Age 10-14 X X X
  Personal and Property Crimes Arrests, Age 10-14 X X X

 

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